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NCAAFWeek 6

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction and odds

Thursday, October 8 at 7:30 PM ET · Alamodome, San Antonio, TX · ESPN

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total49.549

Line movement: the spread opened UTSA Roadrunners -6.5, the total opened at 55.5.

No lean: the model sits close to the market

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

South Florida Bulls (4-1) visit UTSA Roadrunners (4-1) at Alamodome, San Antonio, TX, Thursday, October 8 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has UTSA Roadrunners by 7, with a total of 49.5. The line opened UTSA Roadrunners -6.5. Our model has a total of 49.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners: questions

Who is favored in South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners?
The market has UTSA Roadrunners by 7. On the moneyline, UTSA Roadrunners -278 and South Florida Bulls +225.
What is the over/under for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners?
The total is 49.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 49.
What does the model predict for South Florida Bulls vs UTSA Roadrunners?
It sits close to the market on this one, so it has no lean and no play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.