South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction and odds
Thursday, October 8 at 7:30 PM ET · Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR · ESPN2
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas State Red Wolves -1.5 | Arkansas State Red Wolves -2.5 |
| Total | 57.5 | 57 |
| Moneyline | ARST -115 / USA -105 | ARST 56% to win |
Line movement: the total opened at 56.5.
Model lean: Arkansas State Red Wolves -1.5 (53%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
South Alabama Jaguars (3-2) visit Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-3) at Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, AR, Thursday, October 8 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 1.5, with a total of 57.5. Our model makes it Arkansas State Red Wolves -2.5 with a total of 57 and gives Arkansas State Red Wolves a 56% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: questions
- Who is favored in South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?
- The market has Arkansas State Red Wolves by 1.5. On the moneyline, Arkansas State Red Wolves -115 and South Alabama Jaguars -105.
- What is the over/under for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?
- The total is 57.5, after opening at 56.5. Our model makes it 57.
- What does the model predict for South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?
- It leans Arkansas State Red Wolves -1.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.