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NCAAFWeek 6

Arizona Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET · Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV · TNT

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadWest Virginia Mountaineers +3.5West Virginia Mountaineers +4.5
Total61.559.5
MoneylineWVU +140 / ARIZ -166WVU 39% to win

Line movement: the spread opened West Virginia Mountaineers +3, the total opened at 58.5.

Model lean: Arizona Wildcats -3.5 (53%), Under 61.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Arizona Wildcats (4-1) visit West Virginia Mountaineers (3-2) at Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV, Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET, on TNT. The market has Arizona Wildcats by 3.5, with a total of 61.5. The line opened West Virginia Mountaineers +3. Our model makes it West Virginia Mountaineers +4.5 with a total of 59.5 and gives West Virginia Mountaineers a 39% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Arizona Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers: questions

Who is favored in Arizona Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers?
The market has Arizona Wildcats by 3.5. On the moneyline, West Virginia Mountaineers +140 and Arizona Wildcats -166.
What is the over/under for Arizona Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers?
The total is 61.5, after opening at 58.5. Our model makes it 59.5.
What does the model predict for Arizona Wildcats vs West Virginia Mountaineers?
It leans Arizona Wildcats -3.5 (53%) and Under 61.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.