Who is favored in Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

The market has Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns by 6.5. On the moneyline, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -250 and Arkansas State Red Wolves +205.

What is the over/under for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

The total is 46.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 46.

What does the model predict for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

It leans Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 8:00 PM ET · Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA · ESPN+

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6.5	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -9
Total	46.5	46
Moneyline	UL -250 / ARST +205	UL 71% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -4, the total opened at 49.5.

Model lean: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) visit Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (3-1) at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium, Lafayette, LA, Saturday, October 3 at 8:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns by 6.5, with a total of 46.5. The line opened Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -4. Our model makes it Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -9 with a total of 46 and gives Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns a 71% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: questions

Who is favored in Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?: The market has Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns by 6.5. On the moneyline, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -250 and Arkansas State Red Wolves +205.
What is the over/under for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?: The total is 46.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 46.
What does the model predict for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?: It leans Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.