Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET · Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO · CBS
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Air Force Falcons -3.5 | Air Force Falcons -3 |
| Moneyline | AFA -170 / NAVY +142 | AFA 57% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Air Force Falcons -1.5, the total opened at 49.5.
Model lean: Navy Midshipmen +3.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Navy Midshipmen (1-2) visit Air Force Falcons (2-1) at Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO, Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET, on CBS. The market has Air Force Falcons by 3.5, with a total of 46.5. The line opened Air Force Falcons -1.5. Our model makes it Air Force Falcons -3 and gives Air Force Falcons a 57% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons: questions
- Who is favored in Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons?
- The market has Air Force Falcons by 3.5. On the moneyline, Air Force Falcons -170 and Navy Midshipmen +142.
- What is the over/under for Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons?
- The total is 46.5, after opening at 49.5.
- What does the model predict for Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force Falcons?
- It leans Navy Midshipmen +3.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.