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NCAAFWeek 5

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies prediction and odds

Friday, October 2 at 7:00 PM ET · Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA · ESPN

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadVirginia Tech Hokies -3.5Virginia Tech Hokies -3.5
Total54.552.5
MoneylineVT -162 / PITT +136VT 59% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Virginia Tech Hokies -5.5, the total opened at 56.5.

Model lean: Under 54.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers (4-0) visit Virginia Tech Hokies (4-0) at Lane Stadium, Blacksburg, VA, Friday, October 2 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Virginia Tech Hokies by 3.5, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Virginia Tech Hokies -5.5. Our model makes it Virginia Tech Hokies -3.5 with a total of 52.5 and gives Virginia Tech Hokies a 59% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies: questions

Who is favored in Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies?
The market has Virginia Tech Hokies by 3.5. On the moneyline, Virginia Tech Hokies -162 and Pittsburgh Panthers +136.
What is the over/under for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies?
The total is 54.5, after opening at 56.5. Our model makes it 52.5.
What does the model predict for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech Hokies?
It leans Under 54.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.