Who is favored in North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?

The market has Tulsa Golden Hurricane by 1.5. On the moneyline, Tulsa Golden Hurricane -115 and North Texas Mean Green -105.

What is the over/under for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?

The total is 57.5. Our model makes it 56.

What does the model predict for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?

It leans Under 57.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane prediction and odds

Thursday, October 1 at 9:00 PM ET · H. A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK · ESPN

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Tulsa Golden Hurricane -1.5	Tulsa Golden Hurricane -1.5
Total	57.5	56
Moneyline	TLSA -115 / UNT -105	TLSA 54% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Tulsa Golden Hurricane +1.5.

Model lean: Under 57.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

North Texas Mean Green (2-2) visit Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-1) at H. A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK, Thursday, October 1 at 9:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has Tulsa Golden Hurricane by 1.5, with a total of 57.5. The line opened Tulsa Golden Hurricane +1.5. Our model makes it Tulsa Golden Hurricane -1.5 with a total of 56 and gives Tulsa Golden Hurricane a 54% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane: questions

Who is favored in North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?: The market has Tulsa Golden Hurricane by 1.5. On the moneyline, Tulsa Golden Hurricane -115 and North Texas Mean Green -105.
What is the over/under for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?: The total is 57.5. Our model makes it 56.
What does the model predict for North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane?: It leans Under 57.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.