Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction and odds
Thursday, October 1 at 8:00 PM ET · Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM · CBSSN
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico State Aggies -2.5 | New Mexico State Aggies -1 |
| Total | 57.5 | 58 |
| Moneyline | NMSU -130 / WKU +110 | NMSU 52% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened New Mexico State Aggies -1.5, the total opened at 53.5.
Model lean: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +2.5 (54%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (1-3) visit New Mexico State Aggies (1-3) at Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, NM, Thursday, October 1 at 8:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has New Mexico State Aggies by 2.5, with a total of 57.5. The line opened New Mexico State Aggies -1.5. Our model makes it New Mexico State Aggies -1 with a total of 58 and gives New Mexico State Aggies a 52% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies: questions
- Who is favored in Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies?
- The market has New Mexico State Aggies by 2.5. On the moneyline, New Mexico State Aggies -130 and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +110.
- What is the over/under for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies?
- The total is 57.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 58.
- What does the model predict for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State Aggies?
- It leans Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +2.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.