Skip to content
NCAAFWeek 5

UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET · TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX · ESPN2

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total51.554.5

Model lean: Over 51.5 (58%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

UCF Knights (3-1) visit No. 20 Houston Cougars (3-1) at TDECU Stadium, Houston, TX, Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Houston Cougars by 12.5, with a total of 51.5. Our model has a total of 54.5.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars: questions

Who is favored in UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars?
The market has Houston Cougars by 12.5. On the moneyline, Houston Cougars -455 and UCF Knights +350.
What is the over/under for UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for UCF Knights vs Houston Cougars?
It leans Over 51.5 (58%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

One email every Wednesday. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.