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NCAAFWeek 5

Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens prediction and odds

Friday, October 2 at 7:00 PM ET · Delaware Stadium, Newark, DE · CBSSN

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadDelaware Blue Hens +7Delaware Blue Hens +5
Total49.548
MoneylineDEL +220 / LIB -270DEL 37% to win

Line movement: the total opened at 50.5.

Model lean: Delaware Blue Hens +7 (54%), Under 49.5 (55%), Delaware Blue Hens moneyline +220 (37%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Liberty Flames (3-1) visit Delaware Blue Hens (2-2) at Delaware Stadium, Newark, DE, Friday, October 2 at 7:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Liberty Flames by 7, with a total of 49.5. Our model makes it Delaware Blue Hens +5 with a total of 48 and gives Delaware Blue Hens a 37% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens: questions

Who is favored in Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens?
The market has Liberty Flames by 7. On the moneyline, Delaware Blue Hens +220 and Liberty Flames -270.
What is the over/under for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens?
The total is 49.5, after opening at 50.5. Our model makes it 48.
What does the model predict for Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue Hens?
It leans Delaware Blue Hens +7 (54%) and Under 49.5 (55%) and Delaware Blue Hens moneyline +220 (37%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.