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NCAAFWeek 5

Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 7:30 PM ET · Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA · ESPN+

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadLouisiana Tech Bulldogs +2.5Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +2.5
MoneylineLT +110 / ARMY -130LT 44% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +3.5, the total opened at 44.5.

No lean: the model sits close to the market

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Army Black Knights (2-1) visit Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (1-2) at Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA, Saturday, October 3 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Army Black Knights by 2.5, with a total of 46.5. The line opened Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +3.5. Our model makes it Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +2.5 and gives Louisiana Tech Bulldogs a 44% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: questions

Who is favored in Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?
The market has Army Black Knights by 2.5. On the moneyline, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +110 and Army Black Knights -130.
What is the over/under for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?
The total is 46.5, after opening at 44.5.
What does the model predict for Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs?
It sits close to the market on this one, so it has no lean and no play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.