Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats prediction and odds
Saturday, October 10 at 12:30 PM ET · Ryan Field, Evanston, IL · BTN
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Northwestern Wildcats -36.5 | Northwestern Wildcats -39.5 |
| Total | 52.5 | 51.5 |
Line movement: the spread opened Northwestern Wildcats -34.5.
Model lean: Northwestern Wildcats -36.5 (58%), Under 52.5 (53%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Ball State Cardinals (1-4) visit Northwestern Wildcats (3-1) at Ryan Field, Evanston, IL, Saturday, October 10 at 12:30 PM ET, on BTN. The market has Northwestern Wildcats by 36.5, with a total of 52.5. The line opened Northwestern Wildcats -34.5. Our model makes it Northwestern Wildcats -39.5 with a total of 51.5 and gives Northwestern Wildcats a 99% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats: questions
- Who is favored in Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats?
- The market has Northwestern Wildcats by 36.5.
- What is the over/under for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats?
- The total is 52.5. Our model makes it 51.5.
- What does the model predict for Ball State Cardinals vs Northwestern Wildcats?
- It leans Northwestern Wildcats -36.5 (58%) and Under 52.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.