Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs prediction and odds
Saturday, October 10 at 10:30 PM ET · Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA · CW
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fresno State Bulldogs +6.5 | Fresno State Bulldogs +7.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 49 |
| Moneyline | FRES +205 / BOIS -250 | FRES 33% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Fresno State Bulldogs +7.5.
Model lean: Boise State Broncos -6.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
No. 23 Boise State Broncos (4-1) visit Fresno State Bulldogs (4-1) at Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA, Saturday, October 10 at 10:30 PM ET, on CW. The market has Boise State Broncos by 6.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Fresno State Bulldogs +7.5. Our model makes it Fresno State Bulldogs +7.5 with a total of 49 and gives Fresno State Bulldogs a 33% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs: questions
- Who is favored in Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
- The market has Boise State Broncos by 6.5. On the moneyline, Fresno State Bulldogs +205 and Boise State Broncos -250.
- What is the over/under for Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
- The total is 48.5. Our model makes it 49.
- What does the model predict for Boise State Broncos vs Fresno State Bulldogs?
- It leans Boise State Broncos -6.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
See the plansGet the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday
Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.