Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET · Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH · ESPN+
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Miami (OH) RedHawks -13.5 | Miami (OH) RedHawks -16.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 46 |
| Moneyline | M-OH -550 / BGSU +410 | M-OH 85% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Miami (OH) RedHawks -15.5, the total opened at 50.5.
Model lean: Miami (OH) RedHawks -13.5 (58%), Over 42.5 (60%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Bowling Green Falcons (0-4) visit Miami (OH) RedHawks (2-2) at Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH, Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Miami (OH) RedHawks by 13.5, with a total of 42.5. The line opened Miami (OH) RedHawks -15.5. Our model makes it Miami (OH) RedHawks -16.5 with a total of 46 and gives Miami (OH) RedHawks a 85% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks: questions
- Who is favored in Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks?
- The market has Miami (OH) RedHawks by 13.5. On the moneyline, Miami (OH) RedHawks -550 and Bowling Green Falcons +410.
- What is the over/under for Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks?
- The total is 42.5, after opening at 50.5. Our model makes it 46.
- What does the model predict for Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks?
- It leans Miami (OH) RedHawks -13.5 (58%) and Over 42.5 (60%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.