Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets prediction and odds
Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET · Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH · ESPN+
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo Rockets -20.5 | Toledo Rockets -22.5 |
| Total | 54.5 | 57.5 |
| Moneyline | TOL -1450 / BUFF +850 | TOL 92% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Toledo Rockets -19.5, the total opened at 55.5.
Model lean: Toledo Rockets -20.5 (54%), Over 54.5 (58%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Buffalo Bulls (2-3) visit Toledo Rockets (4-1) at Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH, Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Toledo Rockets by 20.5, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Toledo Rockets -19.5. Our model makes it Toledo Rockets -22.5 with a total of 57.5 and gives Toledo Rockets a 92% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets: questions
- Who is favored in Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets?
- The market has Toledo Rockets by 20.5. On the moneyline, Toledo Rockets -1450 and Buffalo Bulls +850.
- What is the over/under for Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets?
- The total is 54.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 57.5.
- What does the model predict for Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets?
- It leans Toledo Rockets -20.5 (54%) and Over 54.5 (58%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
See the plansGet the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday
Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.