Who is favored in BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The market has BYU Cougars by 6.5. On the moneyline, TCU Horned Frogs +205 and BYU Cougars -250.

What is the over/under for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

The total is 48.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 47.

What does the model predict for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?

It leans Under 48.5 (54%) and TCU Horned Frogs moneyline +205 (34%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 7:00 PM ET · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX · ESPN

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	TCU Horned Frogs +6.5	TCU Horned Frogs +6.5
Total	48.5	47
Moneyline	TCU +205 / BYU -250	TCU 34% to win

Line movement: the spread opened TCU Horned Frogs +5.5, the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Under 48.5 (54%), TCU Horned Frogs moneyline +205 (34%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 10 BYU Cougars (3-0) visit TCU Horned Frogs (2-2) at Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX, Saturday, October 3 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has BYU Cougars by 6.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened TCU Horned Frogs +5.5. Our model makes it TCU Horned Frogs +6.5 with a total of 47 and gives TCU Horned Frogs a 34% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs: questions

Who is favored in BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?: The market has BYU Cougars by 6.5. On the moneyline, TCU Horned Frogs +205 and BYU Cougars -250.
What is the over/under for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?: The total is 48.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 47.
What does the model predict for BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned Frogs?: It leans Under 48.5 (54%) and TCU Horned Frogs moneyline +205 (34%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.