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NCAAFWeek 5

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 11:00 PM ET · Casino Del Sol Stadium, Tucson, AZ · FOX

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadArizona Wildcats -7Arizona Wildcats -9
Total54.554.5
MoneylineARIZ -290 / CIN +235ARIZ 71% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Arizona Wildcats -8.5.

Model lean: Arizona Wildcats -7 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats (4-0) visit Arizona Wildcats (3-1) at Casino Del Sol Stadium, Tucson, AZ, Saturday, October 3 at 11:00 PM ET, on FOX. The market has Arizona Wildcats by 7, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Arizona Wildcats -8.5. Our model makes it Arizona Wildcats -9 with a total of 54.5 and gives Arizona Wildcats a 71% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats: questions

Who is favored in Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats?
The market has Arizona Wildcats by 7. On the moneyline, Arizona Wildcats -290 and Cincinnati Bearcats +235.
What is the over/under for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats?
The total is 54.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona Wildcats?
It leans Arizona Wildcats -7 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.