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NCAAFWeek 6

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET · Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV · ESPN+

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMarshall Thundering Herd -3Marshall Thundering Herd -3
Total58.555.5
MoneylineMRSH -155 / CCU +130MRSH 57% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Marshall Thundering Herd -2.5, the total opened at 55.5.

Model lean: Under 58.5 (58%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (1-4) visit Marshall Thundering Herd (3-2) at Joan C. Edwards Stadium, Huntington, WV, Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Marshall Thundering Herd by 3, with a total of 58.5. The line opened Marshall Thundering Herd -2.5. Our model makes it Marshall Thundering Herd -3 with a total of 55.5 and gives Marshall Thundering Herd a 57% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd: questions

Who is favored in Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?
The market has Marshall Thundering Herd by 3. On the moneyline, Marshall Thundering Herd -155 and Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +130.
What is the over/under for Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?
The total is 58.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 55.5.
What does the model predict for Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?
It leans Under 58.5 (58%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.