Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO · ABC
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Missouri Tigers +4.5 | Missouri Tigers +5 |
| Moneyline | MIZ +170 / FLA -205 | MIZ 38% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Missouri Tigers +2.5, the total opened at 53.5.
Model lean: Florida Gators -4.5 (51%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
No. 8 Florida Gators (4-0) visit No. 25 Missouri Tigers (3-1) at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO, Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET, on ABC. The market has Florida Gators by 4.5, with a total of 56.5. The line opened Missouri Tigers +2.5. Our model makes it Missouri Tigers +5 and gives Missouri Tigers a 38% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers: questions
- Who is favored in Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?
- The market has Florida Gators by 4.5. On the moneyline, Missouri Tigers +170 and Florida Gators -205.
- What is the over/under for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?
- The total is 56.5, after opening at 53.5.
- What does the model predict for Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers?
- It leans Florida Gators -4.5 (51%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.