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NCAAFWeek 5

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 9:30 PM ET · Martin Stadium, Pullman, WA · USA Net

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total46.546

Line movement: the spread opened Washington State Cougars -1.5, the total opened at 45.5.

No lean: the model sits close to the market

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs (3-1) visit Washington State Cougars (1-3) at Martin Stadium, Pullman, WA, Saturday, October 3 at 9:30 PM ET, on USA Net. The market has Washington State Cougars by 2.5, with a total of 46.5. The line opened Washington State Cougars -1.5. Our model has a total of 46.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars: questions

Who is favored in Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars?
The market has Washington State Cougars by 2.5. On the moneyline, Washington State Cougars -130 and Fresno State Bulldogs +110.
What is the over/under for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars?
The total is 46.5, after opening at 45.5. Our model makes it 46.
What does the model predict for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State Cougars?
It sits close to the market on this one, so it has no lean and no play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.