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NCAAFWeek 6

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 9:30 PM ET · Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ · FS1

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadArizona State Sun Devils -20.5Arizona State Sun Devils -18.5
Total51.552.5
MoneylineASU -1600 / HAW +900ASU 88% to win

Model lean: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +20.5 (55%), Over 51.5 (53%), Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors moneyline +900 (12%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors (1-4) visit Arizona State Sun Devils (2-2) at Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ, Saturday, October 10 at 9:30 PM ET, on FS1. The market has Arizona State Sun Devils by 20.5, with a total of 51.5. Our model makes it Arizona State Sun Devils -18.5 with a total of 52.5 and gives Arizona State Sun Devils a 88% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Arizona State Sun Devils: questions

Who is favored in Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
The market has Arizona State Sun Devils by 20.5. On the moneyline, Arizona State Sun Devils -1600 and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +900.
What is the over/under for Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 52.5.
What does the model predict for Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Arizona State Sun Devils?
It leans Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +20.5 (55%) and Over 51.5 (53%) and Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors moneyline +900 (12%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.