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NCAAFWeek 6

James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET · Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA · ESPNU

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total54.552

Line movement: the spread opened Georgia Southern Eagles +10, the total opened at 53.5.

Model lean: Under 54.5 (58%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

James Madison Dukes (5-0) visit Georgia Southern Eagles (2-3) at Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA, Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET, on ESPNU. The market has James Madison Dukes by 7.5, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Georgia Southern Eagles +10. Our model has a total of 52.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles: questions

Who is favored in James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles?
The market has James Madison Dukes by 7.5. On the moneyline, Georgia Southern Eagles +270 and James Madison Dukes -340.
What is the over/under for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles?
The total is 54.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 52.
What does the model predict for James Madison Dukes vs Georgia Southern Eagles?
It leans Under 54.5 (58%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.