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NCAAFWeek 6

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Western Michigan Broncos prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET · Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI · ESPN+

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadWestern Michigan Broncos -13.5Western Michigan Broncos -13.5
Total43.542
MoneylineWMU -575 / KENT +425WMU 80% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Western Michigan Broncos -15.5, the total opened at 48.5.

Model lean: Under 43.5 (54%), Kent State Golden Flashes moneyline +425 (20%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Kent State Golden Flashes (2-3) visit Western Michigan Broncos (3-2) at Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI, Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Western Michigan Broncos by 13.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Western Michigan Broncos -15.5. Our model makes it Western Michigan Broncos -13.5 with a total of 42 and gives Western Michigan Broncos a 80% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Kent State Golden Flashes vs Western Michigan Broncos: questions

Who is favored in Kent State Golden Flashes vs Western Michigan Broncos?
The market has Western Michigan Broncos by 13.5. On the moneyline, Western Michigan Broncos -575 and Kent State Golden Flashes +425.
What is the over/under for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Western Michigan Broncos?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 48.5. Our model makes it 42.
What does the model predict for Kent State Golden Flashes vs Western Michigan Broncos?
It leans Under 43.5 (54%) and Kent State Golden Flashes moneyline +425 (20%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.