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NCAAFWeek 5

Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 4:15 PM ET · Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC · SEC Network

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total53.555.5

Line movement: the spread opened South Carolina Gamecocks -7, the total opened at 49.5.

Model lean: Over 53.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 24 Kentucky Wildcats (3-1) visit South Carolina Gamecocks (2-2) at Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC, Saturday, October 3 at 4:15 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has South Carolina Gamecocks by 2.5, with a total of 53.5. The line opened South Carolina Gamecocks -7. Our model has a total of 55.5.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks: questions

Who is favored in Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
The market has South Carolina Gamecocks by 2.5. On the moneyline, South Carolina Gamecocks -142 and Kentucky Wildcats +120.
What is the over/under for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
The total is 53.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 55.5.
What does the model predict for Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina Gamecocks?
It leans Over 53.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.