LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats prediction and odds
Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET · Kroger Field, Lexington, KY · ESPN
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kentucky Wildcats +8.5 | Kentucky Wildcats +8.5 |
| Total | 54.5 | 55.5 |
| Moneyline | UK +275 / LSU -345 | UK 30% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Kentucky Wildcats +10.5, the total opened at 49.5.
Model lean: Over 54.5 (52%), Kentucky Wildcats moneyline +275 (30%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
No. 10 LSU Tigers (4-1) visit Kentucky Wildcats (4-1) at Kroger Field, Lexington, KY, Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN. The market has LSU Tigers by 8.5, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Kentucky Wildcats +10.5. Our model makes it Kentucky Wildcats +8.5 with a total of 55.5 and gives Kentucky Wildcats a 30% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats: questions
- Who is favored in LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats?
- The market has LSU Tigers by 8.5. On the moneyline, Kentucky Wildcats +275 and LSU Tigers -345.
- What is the over/under for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats?
- The total is 54.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 55.5.
- What does the model predict for LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats?
- It leans Over 54.5 (52%) and Kentucky Wildcats moneyline +275 (30%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.