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NCAAFWeek 5

Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 7:30 PM ET · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), Clemson, SC · ABC

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadClemson Tigers +16.5Clemson Tigers +17
Total48.549
MoneylineCLEM +550 / MIA -800CLEM 15% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Clemson Tigers +7, the total opened at 55.5.

Model lean: Miami Hurricanes -16.5 (51%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 4 Miami Hurricanes (4-0) visit Clemson Tigers (3-1) at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC), Clemson, SC, Saturday, October 3 at 7:30 PM ET, on ABC. The market has Miami Hurricanes by 16.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Clemson Tigers +7. Our model makes it Clemson Tigers +17 with a total of 49 and gives Clemson Tigers a 15% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers: questions

Who is favored in Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers?
The market has Miami Hurricanes by 16.5. On the moneyline, Clemson Tigers +550 and Miami Hurricanes -800.
What is the over/under for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers?
The total is 48.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 49.
What does the model predict for Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson Tigers?
It leans Miami Hurricanes -16.5 (51%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.