Who is favored in Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The market has Wisconsin Badgers by 10.5. On the moneyline, Wisconsin Badgers -410 and Michigan State Spartans +320.

What is the over/under for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

The total is 43.5, after opening at 44.5. Our model makes it 43.

What does the model predict for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

It leans Michigan State Spartans moneyline +320 (25%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 12:30 PM ET · Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI · BTN

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Wisconsin Badgers -10.5	Wisconsin Badgers -11
Total	43.5	43
Moneyline	WIS -410 / MSU +320	WIS 75% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Wisconsin Badgers -10, the total opened at 44.5.

Model lean: Michigan State Spartans moneyline +320 (25%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Michigan State Spartans (2-2) visit Wisconsin Badgers (3-1) at Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI, Saturday, October 3 at 12:30 PM ET, on BTN. The market has Wisconsin Badgers by 10.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Wisconsin Badgers -10. Our model makes it Wisconsin Badgers -11 with a total of 43 and gives Wisconsin Badgers a 75% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers: questions

Who is favored in Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?: The market has Wisconsin Badgers by 10.5. On the moneyline, Wisconsin Badgers -410 and Michigan State Spartans +320.
What is the over/under for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?: The total is 43.5, after opening at 44.5. Our model makes it 43.
What does the model predict for Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers?: It leans Michigan State Spartans moneyline +320 (25%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.