Skip to content
NCAAFWeek 5

Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET · Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN · FOX

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMinnesota Golden Gophers +5.5Minnesota Golden Gophers +4.5
Total43.543
MoneylineMINN +185 / MICH -225MINN 39% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5, the total opened at 44.5.

Model lean: Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5 (52%), Minnesota Golden Gophers moneyline +185 (39%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Michigan Wolverines (3-1) visit Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-1) at Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN, Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET, on FOX. The market has Michigan Wolverines by 5.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Minnesota Golden Gophers +8.5. Our model makes it Minnesota Golden Gophers +4.5 with a total of 43 and gives Minnesota Golden Gophers a 39% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers: questions

Who is favored in Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers?
The market has Michigan Wolverines by 5.5. On the moneyline, Minnesota Golden Gophers +185 and Michigan Wolverines -225.
What is the over/under for Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 44.5. Our model makes it 43.
What does the model predict for Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers?
It leans Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5 (52%) and Minnesota Golden Gophers moneyline +185 (39%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

One email every Wednesday. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.