Who is favored in North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?

The market has North Dakota State Bison by 3. On the moneyline, UNLV Rebels +136 and North Dakota State Bison -162.

What is the over/under for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?

The total is 48.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 47.

What does the model predict for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?

It leans North Dakota State Bison -3 (52%) and Under 48.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 6

North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET · Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV · CW

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	UNLV Rebels +3	UNLV Rebels +4
Total	48.5	47
Moneyline	UNLV +136 / NDSU -162	UNLV 40% to win

Line movement: the spread opened UNLV Rebels +4, the total opened at 49.5.

Model lean: North Dakota State Bison -3 (52%), Under 48.5 (55%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

North Dakota State Bison (5-0) visit UNLV Rebels (3-2) at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV, Saturday, October 10 at 7:00 PM ET, on CW. The market has North Dakota State Bison by 3, with a total of 48.5. The line opened UNLV Rebels +4. Our model makes it UNLV Rebels +4 with a total of 47 and gives UNLV Rebels a 40% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels: questions

Who is favored in North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?: The market has North Dakota State Bison by 3. On the moneyline, UNLV Rebels +136 and North Dakota State Bison -162.
What is the over/under for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?: The total is 48.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 47.
What does the model predict for North Dakota State Bison vs UNLV Rebels?: It leans North Dakota State Bison -3 (52%) and Under 48.5 (55%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.