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NCAAFWeek 5

Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET · Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium, Kent, OH · ESPN+

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadKent State Golden Flashes +3Kent State Golden Flashes +0.5
Total50.552.5
MoneylineKENT +136 / OHIO -162KENT 49% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Kent State Golden Flashes +5.5, the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Kent State Golden Flashes +3 (56%), Over 50.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Ohio Bobcats (2-2) visit Kent State Golden Flashes (2-2) at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium, Kent, OH, Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Ohio Bobcats by 3, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Kent State Golden Flashes +5.5. Our model makes it Kent State Golden Flashes +0.5 with a total of 52.5 and gives Kent State Golden Flashes a 49% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes: questions

Who is favored in Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes?
The market has Ohio Bobcats by 3. On the moneyline, Kent State Golden Flashes +136 and Ohio Bobcats -162.
What is the over/under for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes?
The total is 50.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 52.5.
What does the model predict for Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden Flashes?
It leans Kent State Golden Flashes +3 (56%) and Over 50.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.