Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers prediction and odds
Saturday, October 10 at 1:00 PM ET · Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC · ESPN+
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | App State Mountaineers -9.5 | App State Mountaineers -10 |
| Total | 50.5 | 51 |
| Moneyline | APP -360 / ODU +285 | APP 73% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened App State Mountaineers -5.5, the total opened at 51.5.
Model lean: App State Mountaineers -9.5 (51%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Old Dominion Monarchs (1-4) visit App State Mountaineers (3-1) at Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, NC, Saturday, October 10 at 1:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has App State Mountaineers by 9.5, with a total of 50.5. The line opened App State Mountaineers -5.5. Our model makes it App State Mountaineers -10 with a total of 51 and gives App State Mountaineers a 73% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers: questions
- Who is favored in Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers?
- The market has App State Mountaineers by 9.5. On the moneyline, App State Mountaineers -360 and Old Dominion Monarchs +285.
- What is the over/under for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers?
- The total is 50.5, after opening at 51.5. Our model makes it 51.
- What does the model predict for Old Dominion Monarchs vs App State Mountaineers?
- It leans App State Mountaineers -9.5 (51%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.