Who is favored in Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons?

The market has Bowling Green Falcons by 7. On the moneyline, Bowling Green Falcons -298 and Sacramento State Hornets +240.

What is the over/under for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons?

The total is 44.5, after opening at 46.5. Our model makes it 44.5.

What does the model predict for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons?

It leans Sacramento State Hornets moneyline +240 (34%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 6

Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET · Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH · ESPN+

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Bowling Green Falcons -7	Bowling Green Falcons -7
Total	44.5	44.5
Moneyline	BGSU -298 / SAC +240	BGSU 66% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Bowling Green Falcons -6.5, the total opened at 46.5.

Model lean: Sacramento State Hornets moneyline +240 (34%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Sacramento State Hornets (1-4) visit Bowling Green Falcons (1-4) at Doyt L. Perry Stadium, Bowling Green, OH, Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Bowling Green Falcons by 7, with a total of 44.5. The line opened Bowling Green Falcons -6.5. Our model makes it Bowling Green Falcons -7 with a total of 44.5 and gives Bowling Green Falcons a 66% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons: questions

Who is favored in Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons?: The market has Bowling Green Falcons by 7. On the moneyline, Bowling Green Falcons -298 and Sacramento State Hornets +240.
What is the over/under for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons?: The total is 44.5, after opening at 46.5. Our model makes it 44.5.
What does the model predict for Sacramento State Hornets vs Bowling Green Falcons?: It leans Sacramento State Hornets moneyline +240 (34%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

See the plans

Get the Spreadhound Weekly, free every Wednesday

Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.