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NCAAFWeek 6

Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA · ACC Network

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadVirginia Cavaliers -9.5Virginia Cavaliers -10.5
Total50.551
MoneylineUVA -345 / SYR +275UVA 74% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Virginia Cavaliers -8.5.

Model lean: Virginia Cavaliers -9.5 (52%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Syracuse Orange (2-2) visit Virginia Cavaliers (3-2) at Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA, Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET, on ACC Network. The market has Virginia Cavaliers by 9.5, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Virginia Cavaliers -8.5. Our model makes it Virginia Cavaliers -10.5 with a total of 51 and gives Virginia Cavaliers a 74% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers: questions

Who is favored in Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers?
The market has Virginia Cavaliers by 9.5. On the moneyline, Virginia Cavaliers -345 and Syracuse Orange +275.
What is the over/under for Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers?
The total is 50.5. Our model makes it 51.
What does the model predict for Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers?
It leans Virginia Cavaliers -9.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.