Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks prediction and odds
Saturday, October 10 at 4:15 PM ET · Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR · SEC Network
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Arkansas Razorbacks +13.5 | Arkansas Razorbacks +15 |
| Total | 51.5 | 50.5 |
| Moneyline | ARK +410 / TENN -550 | ARK 18% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Arkansas Razorbacks +14, the total opened at 49.5.
Model lean: Tennessee Volunteers -13.5 (53%), Under 51.5 (54%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
No. 15 Tennessee Volunteers (4-1) visit Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR, Saturday, October 10 at 4:15 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has Tennessee Volunteers by 13.5, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Arkansas Razorbacks +14. Our model makes it Arkansas Razorbacks +15 with a total of 50.5 and gives Arkansas Razorbacks a 18% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks: questions
- Who is favored in Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?
- The market has Tennessee Volunteers by 13.5. On the moneyline, Arkansas Razorbacks +410 and Tennessee Volunteers -550.
- What is the over/under for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?
- The total is 51.5, after opening at 49.5. Our model makes it 50.5.
- What does the model predict for Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks?
- It leans Tennessee Volunteers -13.5 (53%) and Under 51.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.