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NCAAFWeek 6

Texas A&M Aggies vs Missouri Tigers prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO · ABC

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadMissouri Tigers -3.5Missouri Tigers -5
Total48.548.5
MoneylineMIZ -180 / TA&M +150MIZ 62% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Missouri Tigers -1.5, the total opened at 50.5.

Model lean: Missouri Tigers -3.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Texas A&M Aggies (3-2) visit No. 14 Missouri Tigers (4-1) at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO, Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET, on ABC. The market has Missouri Tigers by 3.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Missouri Tigers -1.5. Our model makes it Missouri Tigers -5 with a total of 48.5 and gives Missouri Tigers a 62% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Texas A&M Aggies vs Missouri Tigers: questions

Who is favored in Texas A&M Aggies vs Missouri Tigers?
The market has Missouri Tigers by 3.5. On the moneyline, Missouri Tigers -180 and Texas A&M Aggies +150.
What is the over/under for Texas A&M Aggies vs Missouri Tigers?
The total is 48.5, after opening at 50.5. Our model makes it 48.5.
What does the model predict for Texas A&M Aggies vs Missouri Tigers?
It leans Missouri Tigers -3.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.