Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 10:30 PM ET · Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA · CW
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | San Diego State Aztecs +4.5 | San Diego State Aztecs +5 |
| Total | 59.5 | 57.5 |
| Moneyline | SDSU +160 / TXST -192 | SDSU 38% to win |
Line movement: the total opened at 60.5.
Model lean: Texas State Bobcats -4.5 (52%), Under 59.5 (56%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Texas State Bobcats (2-2) visit San Diego State Aztecs (1-3) at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA, Saturday, October 3 at 10:30 PM ET, on CW. The market has Texas State Bobcats by 4.5, with a total of 59.5. Our model makes it San Diego State Aztecs +5 with a total of 57.5 and gives San Diego State Aztecs a 38% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs: questions
- Who is favored in Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs?
- The market has Texas State Bobcats by 4.5. On the moneyline, San Diego State Aztecs +160 and Texas State Bobcats -192.
- What is the over/under for Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs?
- The total is 59.5, after opening at 60.5. Our model makes it 57.5.
- What does the model predict for Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State Aztecs?
- It leans Texas State Bobcats -4.5 (52%) and Under 59.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.