Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 2:00 PM ET · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN · ESPN+
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ball State Cardinals +19.5 | Ball State Cardinals +18 |
| Moneyline | BALL +800 / TOL -1350 | BALL 13% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Ball State Cardinals +17.5.
Model lean: Ball State Cardinals +19.5 (53%), Ball State Cardinals moneyline +800 (13%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Toledo Rockets (3-1) visit Ball State Cardinals (1-3) at Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN, Saturday, October 3 at 2:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has Toledo Rockets by 19.5, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Ball State Cardinals +17.5. Our model makes it Ball State Cardinals +18 and gives Ball State Cardinals a 13% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals: questions
- Who is favored in Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals?
- The market has Toledo Rockets by 19.5. On the moneyline, Ball State Cardinals +800 and Toledo Rockets -1350.
- What is the over/under for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals?
- The total is 51.5.
- What does the model predict for Toledo Rockets vs Ball State Cardinals?
- It leans Ball State Cardinals +19.5 (53%) and Ball State Cardinals moneyline +800 (13%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.