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NCAAFWeek 6

Tulane Green Wave vs Army Black Knights prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET · Michie Stadium, West Point, NY · CBSSN

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
Total48.547.5

Line movement: the spread opened Army Black Knights -6.5, the total opened at 44.5.

Model lean: Under 48.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Tulane Green Wave (2-2) visit Army Black Knights (2-2) at Michie Stadium, West Point, NY, Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Army Black Knights by 3, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Army Black Knights -6.5. Our model has a total of 47.5.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Tulane Green Wave vs Army Black Knights: questions

Who is favored in Tulane Green Wave vs Army Black Knights?
The market has Army Black Knights by 3. On the moneyline, Army Black Knights -166 and Tulane Green Wave +140.
What is the over/under for Tulane Green Wave vs Army Black Knights?
The total is 48.5, after opening at 44.5. Our model makes it 47.5.
What does the model predict for Tulane Green Wave vs Army Black Knights?
It leans Under 48.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.