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NCAAFWeek 6

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD · CBSSN

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadNavy Midshipmen -2.5Navy Midshipmen -1.5
Total48.548
MoneylineNAVY -130 / TLSA +110NAVY 53% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Navy Midshipmen -3, the total opened at 52.5.

Model lean: Tulsa Golden Hurricane +2.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-2) visit Navy Midshipmen (1-3) at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium, Annapolis, MD, Saturday, October 10 at 3:30 PM ET, on CBSSN. The market has Navy Midshipmen by 2.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened Navy Midshipmen -3. Our model makes it Navy Midshipmen -1.5 with a total of 48 and gives Navy Midshipmen a 53% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen: questions

Who is favored in Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen?
The market has Navy Midshipmen by 2.5. On the moneyline, Navy Midshipmen -130 and Tulsa Golden Hurricane +110.
What is the over/under for Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen?
The total is 48.5, after opening at 52.5. Our model makes it 48.
What does the model predict for Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs Navy Midshipmen?
It leans Tulsa Golden Hurricane +2.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.