Who is favored in UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?

The market has South Alabama Jaguars by 14. On the moneyline, South Alabama Jaguars -600 and UL Monroe Warhawks +440.

What is the over/under for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?

The total is 57.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 59.5.

What does the model predict for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?

It leans Over 57.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 7:00 PM ET · Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL · ESPN+

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	South Alabama Jaguars -14	South Alabama Jaguars -14.5
Total	57.5	59.5
Moneyline	USA -600 / ULM +440	USA 81% to win

Line movement: the spread opened South Alabama Jaguars -14.5, the total opened at 55.5.

Model lean: Over 57.5 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

UL Monroe Warhawks (0-4) visit South Alabama Jaguars (2-2) at Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL, Saturday, October 3 at 7:00 PM ET, on ESPN+. The market has South Alabama Jaguars by 14, with a total of 57.5. The line opened South Alabama Jaguars -14.5. Our model makes it South Alabama Jaguars -14.5 with a total of 59.5 and gives South Alabama Jaguars a 81% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars: questions

Who is favored in UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?: The market has South Alabama Jaguars by 14. On the moneyline, South Alabama Jaguars -600 and UL Monroe Warhawks +440.
What is the over/under for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?: The total is 57.5, after opening at 55.5. Our model makes it 59.5.
What does the model predict for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?: It leans Over 57.5 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.