Who is favored in USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

The market has Penn State Nittany Lions by 1.5. On the moneyline, Penn State Nittany Lions -122 and USC Trojans +102.

What is the over/under for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

The total is 54.5, after opening at 56.5. Our model makes it 54.5.

What does the model predict for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions?

It leans USC Trojans +1.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 6

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET · Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA · NBC

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Penn State Nittany Lions -1.5	Penn State Nittany Lions +0.5
Total	54.5	54.5
Moneyline	PSU -122 / USC +102	PSU 49% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Penn State Nittany Lions +1.5, the total opened at 56.5.

Model lean: USC Trojans +1.5 (54%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

No. 19 USC Trojans (5-1) visit Penn State Nittany Lions (3-2) at Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA, Saturday, October 10 at 7:30 PM ET, on NBC. The market has Penn State Nittany Lions by 1.5, with a total of 54.5. The line opened Penn State Nittany Lions +1.5. Our model makes it Penn State Nittany Lions +0.5 with a total of 54.5 and gives Penn State Nittany Lions a 49% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions: questions

Who is favored in USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions?: The market has Penn State Nittany Lions by 1.5. On the moneyline, Penn State Nittany Lions -122 and USC Trojans +102.
What is the over/under for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions?: The total is 54.5, after opening at 56.5. Our model makes it 54.5.
What does the model predict for USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions?: It leans USC Trojans +1.5 (54%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.