UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 4:00 PM ET · University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM · MW+
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | New Mexico Lobos -22.5 | New Mexico Lobos -24.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 51 |
| Moneyline | UNM -2100 / UTEP +1100 | UNM 93% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened New Mexico Lobos -21, the total opened at 53.5.
Model lean: New Mexico Lobos -22.5 (55%), Over 48.5 (57%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
UTEP Miners (1-3) visit New Mexico Lobos (3-1) at University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, NM, Saturday, October 3 at 4:00 PM ET, on MW+. The market has New Mexico Lobos by 22.5, with a total of 48.5. The line opened New Mexico Lobos -21. Our model makes it New Mexico Lobos -24.5 with a total of 51 and gives New Mexico Lobos a 93% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos: questions
- Who is favored in UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos?
- The market has New Mexico Lobos by 22.5. On the moneyline, New Mexico Lobos -2100 and UTEP Miners +1100.
- What is the over/under for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos?
- The total is 48.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 51.
- What does the model predict for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos?
- It leans New Mexico Lobos -22.5 (55%) and Over 48.5 (57%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.