Who is favored in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?

The market has Georgia Bulldogs by 24.5. On the moneyline, Georgia Bulldogs -2800 and Vanderbilt Commodores +1300.

What is the over/under for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?

The total is 50.5, after opening at 57.5. Our model makes it 53.5.

What does the model predict for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?

It leans Georgia Bulldogs -24.5 (53%) and Over 50.5 (59%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 12:45 PM ET · Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA · SEC Network

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Georgia Bulldogs -24.5	Georgia Bulldogs -25.5
Total	50.5	53.5
Moneyline	UGA -2800 / VAN +1300	UGA 94% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Georgia Bulldogs -23.5, the total opened at 57.5.

Model lean: Georgia Bulldogs -24.5 (53%), Over 50.5 (59%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Vanderbilt Commodores (3-1) visit No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs (4-0) at Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA, Saturday, October 3 at 12:45 PM ET, on SEC Network. The market has Georgia Bulldogs by 24.5, with a total of 50.5. The line opened Georgia Bulldogs -23.5. Our model makes it Georgia Bulldogs -25.5 with a total of 53.5 and gives Georgia Bulldogs a 94% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs: questions

Who is favored in Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?: The market has Georgia Bulldogs by 24.5. On the moneyline, Georgia Bulldogs -2800 and Vanderbilt Commodores +1300.
What is the over/under for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?: The total is 50.5, after opening at 57.5. Our model makes it 53.5.
What does the model predict for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?: It leans Georgia Bulldogs -24.5 (53%) and Over 50.5 (59%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.