Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles prediction and odds
Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET · Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL · ESPN2
Market vs model
| Line | Market | Model |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Florida State Seminoles +2.5 | Florida State Seminoles +2 |
| Total | 51.5 | 51 |
| Moneyline | FSU +124 / UVA -148 | FSU 45% to win |
Line movement: the spread opened Florida State Seminoles +1.5.
Model lean: Florida State Seminoles +2.5 (52%)
A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.
Preview
Virginia Cavaliers (3-1) visit Florida State Seminoles (2-2) at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL, Saturday, October 3 at 3:30 PM ET, on ESPN2. The market has Virginia Cavaliers by 2.5, with a total of 51.5. The line opened Florida State Seminoles +1.5. Our model makes it Florida State Seminoles +2 with a total of 51 and gives Florida State Seminoles a 45% chance to win.
How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.
Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles: questions
- Who is favored in Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles?
- The market has Virginia Cavaliers by 2.5. On the moneyline, Florida State Seminoles +124 and Virginia Cavaliers -148.
- What is the over/under for Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles?
- The total is 51.5. Our model makes it 51.
- What does the model predict for Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State Seminoles?
- It leans Florida State Seminoles +2.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.
The plays go to members
Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.
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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.