Who is favored in Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack?

The market has Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 4. On the moneyline, NC State Wolfpack +154 and Wake Forest Demon Deacons -185.

What is the over/under for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack?

The total is 59.5, after opening at 60.5. Our model makes it 58.5.

What does the model predict for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack?

It leans Under 59.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 6

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack prediction and odds

Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET · Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC · CW

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	NC State Wolfpack +4	NC State Wolfpack +3.5
Total	59.5	58.5
Moneyline	NCSU +154 / WAKE -185	NCSU 41% to win

Line movement: the spread opened NC State Wolfpack +2.5, the total opened at 60.5.

Model lean: Under 59.5 (52%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-1) visit NC State Wolfpack (3-2) at Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC, Saturday, October 10 at 12:00 PM ET, on CW. The market has Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 4, with a total of 59.5. The line opened NC State Wolfpack +2.5. Our model makes it NC State Wolfpack +3.5 with a total of 58.5 and gives NC State Wolfpack a 41% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack: questions

Who is favored in Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack?: The market has Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 4. On the moneyline, NC State Wolfpack +154 and Wake Forest Demon Deacons -185.
What is the over/under for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack?: The total is 59.5, after opening at 60.5. Our model makes it 58.5.
What does the model predict for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack?: It leans Under 59.5 (52%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.