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NCAAFWeek 5

Washington Huskies vs USC Trojans prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 7:30 PM ET · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA · NBC

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUSC Trojans -9.5USC Trojans -9.5
Total57.555
MoneylineUSC -375 / WASH +295USC 73% to win

Line movement: the spread opened USC Trojans -10.

Model lean: Under 57.5 (57%), Washington Huskies moneyline +295 (27%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Washington Huskies (3-1) visit No. 18 USC Trojans (4-1) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA, Saturday, October 3 at 7:30 PM ET, on NBC. The market has USC Trojans by 9.5, with a total of 57.5. The line opened USC Trojans -10. Our model makes it USC Trojans -9.5 with a total of 55 and gives USC Trojans a 73% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Washington Huskies vs USC Trojans: questions

Who is favored in Washington Huskies vs USC Trojans?
The market has USC Trojans by 9.5. On the moneyline, USC Trojans -375 and Washington Huskies +295.
What is the over/under for Washington Huskies vs USC Trojans?
The total is 57.5. Our model makes it 55.
What does the model predict for Washington Huskies vs USC Trojans?
It leans Under 57.5 (57%) and Washington Huskies moneyline +295 (27%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.