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NCAAFWeek 6

Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies prediction and odds

Friday, October 9 at 9:00 PM ET · Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT · CW

Market vs model

LineMarketModel
SpreadUtah State Aggies -5.5Utah State Aggies -5.5
Total43.542.5
MoneylineUSU -205 / WSU +170USU 64% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Utah State Aggies -3, the total opened at 44.5.

Model lean: Under 43.5 (53%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

Washington State Cougars (1-4) visit Utah State Aggies (1-4) at Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT, Friday, October 9 at 9:00 PM ET, on CW. The market has Utah State Aggies by 5.5, with a total of 43.5. The line opened Utah State Aggies -3. Our model makes it Utah State Aggies -5.5 with a total of 42.5 and gives Utah State Aggies a 64% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies: questions

Who is favored in Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies?
The market has Utah State Aggies by 5.5. On the moneyline, Utah State Aggies -205 and Washington State Cougars +170.
What is the over/under for Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies?
The total is 43.5, after opening at 44.5. Our model makes it 42.5.
What does the model predict for Washington State Cougars vs Utah State Aggies?
It leans Under 43.5 (53%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.