Who is favored in West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?

The market has Iowa State Cyclones by 3. On the moneyline, Iowa State Cyclones -162 and West Virginia Mountaineers +136.

What is the over/under for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?

The total is 52.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 52.

What does the model predict for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?

It leans West Virginia Mountaineers +3 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

NCAAFWeek 5

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction and odds

Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET · Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA · TNT

Market vs model

Line	Market	Model
Spread	Iowa State Cyclones -3	Iowa State Cyclones -0.5
Total	52.5	52
Moneyline	ISU -162 / WVU +136	ISU 52% to win

Line movement: the spread opened Iowa State Cyclones -1.5, the total opened at 53.5.

Model lean: West Virginia Mountaineers +3 (56%)

A lean is an opinion without a stake. The model only publishes a play when its disagreement with the market clears a much higher bar.

See every game, model against market

Preview

West Virginia Mountaineers (3-1) visit Iowa State Cyclones (2-2) at Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA, Saturday, October 3 at 12:00 PM ET, on TNT. The market has Iowa State Cyclones by 3, with a total of 52.5. The line opened Iowa State Cyclones -1.5. Our model makes it Iowa State Cyclones -0.5 with a total of 52 and gives Iowa State Cyclones a 52% chance to win.

How the numbers are made: the model prices every game from unit grades, power ratings, results, rest and weather, then compares its line with the market. More on the method.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones: questions

Who is favored in West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?: The market has Iowa State Cyclones by 3. On the moneyline, Iowa State Cyclones -162 and West Virginia Mountaineers +136.
What is the over/under for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?: The total is 52.5, after opening at 53.5. Our model makes it 52.
What does the model predict for West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State Cyclones?: It leans West Virginia Mountaineers +3 (56%). A lean is an opinion without a stake: the gap to the market was not big enough to make it a play.

The plays go to members

Leans are free. The plays, where the model disagrees with the market enough to stake 1% to 3% of bankroll, go to members by email the moment they publish.

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Analysis only, not betting advice. Lines move; check your book before you bet. Bet only what you can afford to lose.