College Football week 5 picks and predictions
Our model priced 56 College Football games for week 5 (October 1 to October 3) and set its own line on each one next to the market. Most of the time the two agree, and a lean is only a lean. The games where the model disagrees enough to stake money on are plays: 5 this week, for members, and every one is graded in public.
Biggest model leans this week
- UCF Knights at Houston Cougars: lean Over 51.5
Market total 51.5, model total 54.5. About 59% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Alabama Crimson Tide at Mississippi State Bulldogs: lean Over 60.5
Market total 60.5, model total 63.5. About 59% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Wyoming Cowboys at North Dakota State Bison: lean Under 45.5
Market total 45.5, model total 43. About 58% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Washington Huskies at USC Trojans: lean Under 58.5
Market total 58.5, model total 55.5. About 58% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
- Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers: lean Under 54.5
Market total 54.5, model total 52.5. About 57% for this side by the model: a lean, not a play.
Every week 5 game
Thursday, October 1
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs New Mexico State AggiesLean Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +2.5
NCAAF · 8:00 PM ET
- North Texas Mean Green vs Tulsa Golden HurricaneLean Under 57.5
NCAAF · 9:00 PM ET
Friday, October 2
- Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Tech HokiesLean Under 54.5
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- Liberty Flames vs Delaware Blue HensLean Delaware Blue Hens +7
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- Penn State Nittany Lions vs Northwestern WildcatsLean Northwestern Wildcats +2.5
NCAAF · 8:00 PM ET
Saturday, October 3
- Stanford Cardinal vs Wake Forest Demon DeaconsLean Stanford Cardinal moneyline +390
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Boston College Eagles vs SMU MustangsLean Boston College Eagles +21
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Navy Midshipmen vs Air Force FalconsNo lean
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- UCF Knights vs Houston CougarsLean Over 51.5
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Kansas JayhawksMembers play
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Syracuse Orange vs UConn HuskiesLean Syracuse Orange -6.5
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar HeelsLean Notre Dame Fighting Irish -21
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State BulldogsLean Over 60.5
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- West Virginia Mountaineers vs Iowa State CyclonesLean West Virginia Mountaineers +3.5
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden GophersLean Minnesota Golden Gophers +5.5
NCAAF · 12:00 PM ET
- Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin BadgersLean Wisconsin Badgers -10
NCAAF · 12:30 PM ET
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia BulldogsLean Georgia Bulldogs -24.5
NCAAF · 12:45 PM ET
- Western Michigan Broncos vs Buffalo BullsLean Over 46.5
NCAAF · 1:00 PM ET
- Toledo Rockets vs Ball State CardinalsLean Ball State Cardinals +19.5
NCAAF · 2:00 PM ET
- Virginia Cavaliers vs Florida State SeminolesLean Florida State Seminoles +2.5
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Ohio Bobcats vs Kent State Golden FlashesMembers play
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Old Dominion Monarchs vs Georgia State PanthersLean Georgia State Panthers -2.5
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Florida Gators vs Missouri TigersNo lean
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- California Golden Bears vs UNLV RebelsMembers play
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Wyoming Cowboys vs North Dakota State BisonLean Under 45.5
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Akron Zips vs Central Michigan ChippewasLean Akron Zips +6.5
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts MinutemenNo lean
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Louisville Cardinals vs NC State WolfpackLean NC State Wolfpack +4
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ersMembers play
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee VolunteersLean Under 54.5
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs Iowa HawkeyesLean Iowa Hawkeyes +14
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawksLean Miami (OH) RedHawks -13.5
NCAAF · 3:30 PM ET
- Marshall Thundering Herd vs James Madison DukesLean James Madison Dukes -18.5
NCAAF · 3:45 PM ET
- Maryland Terrapins vs Nebraska CornhuskersLean Maryland Terrapins +14.5
NCAAF · 4:00 PM ET
- UTEP Miners vs New Mexico LobosLean New Mexico Lobos -22.5
NCAAF · 4:00 PM ET
- Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting IlliniLean Purdue Boilermakers +10
NCAAF · 4:15 PM ET
- Kentucky Wildcats vs South Carolina GamecocksLean Over 53.5
NCAAF · 4:15 PM ET
- Oregon State Beavers vs Colorado State RamsLean Colorado State Rams +6
NCAAF · 6:00 PM ET
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs Texas A&M AggiesLean Arkansas Razorbacks +14
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- BYU Cougars vs TCU Horned FrogsLean Under 47.5
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice OwlsLean UTSA Roadrunners -11.5
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- Georgia Southern Eagles vs Coastal Carolina ChanticleersMembers play
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama JaguarsLean Over 57.5
NCAAF · 7:00 PM ET
- Washington Huskies vs USC TrojansLean Under 58.5
NCAAF · 7:30 PM ET
- Army Black Knights vs Louisiana Tech BulldogsNo lean
NCAAF · 7:30 PM ET
- Temple Owls vs South Florida BullsLean Temple Owls +6.5
NCAAF · 7:30 PM ET
- Miami Hurricanes vs Clemson TigersLean Over 47.5
NCAAF · 7:30 PM ET
- Utah State Aggies vs Boise State BroncosLean Utah State Aggies +20.5
NCAAF · 7:30 PM ET
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Colorado BuffaloesLean Texas Tech Red Raiders -12.5
NCAAF · 7:30 PM ET
- Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsLean Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -6.5
NCAAF · 8:00 PM ET
- Indiana Hoosiers vs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsLean Rutgers Scarlet Knights +24.5
NCAAF · 8:00 PM ET
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs Washington State CougarsNo lean
NCAAF · 9:30 PM ET
- Baylor Bears vs Arizona State Sun DevilsLean Baylor Bears +4
NCAAF · 10:30 PM ET
- Texas State Bobcats vs San Diego State AztecsLean Texas State Bobcats -4.5
NCAAF · 10:30 PM ET
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs Arizona WildcatsLean Arizona Wildcats -7
NCAAF · 11:00 PM ET
- San José State Spartans vs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsNo lean
NCAAF · 11:59 PM ET
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The model's leans every Wednesday, free
Last week's results, the season trends and the leans.